Trump's Iran strategy: Aims versus narratives and perceptions
TEHRAN (Basirat) :After a long-time ambiguity and many assumptions, U.S. President Donald Trump has laid out his Iran strategy to confront Tehran and renegotiate a 2015 nuclear agreement, a strategy that requires a string of big bets to pay off in short order.
Not only is the risk of failure enormous but Trump's statements in itself was a
big failure, in terms of content, facts, reasoning, the mindset behind the
speech, the way of expressing it, etc.
In his speech, Trump articulated his approach to the Iran deal and defined many
aims for it but the realities, narratives and perceptions stand opposite to his
objectives, which could be enumerated as follows:
1) Multipolar vs. unipolar: Trump's speech shows that his mindset belongs to
post-Cold War era, because he looks at the international system as a unipolar
system while it has changed to multi-polar. High representative of the European
Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Federica Mogherini's fast and
strong stance to advocate the JCPOA, is testimony to a multipolar international
system.
2) Big power, not superpower: Germany, Britain and France's statements and also
China-Russia stances to fully support the JCPOA are firm signs that contrary to
Trump's deduction the U.S. is now only a big power, not a superpower or
chieftain.
3) Robust vs. fragile: The aforesaid anti-Trump's statements along with the text
of the JCPOA which is supported by UN Security Council resolution 2231, intimate
the JCPOA is much more robust than Trump's idea for a "fragile JCPOA".
4) Undermining and unsuccessful shooting: Maybe Trump's goals were to scuttle
Iran's current economic, political and regional status but President Rouhani's
response did undermine the Trump shootings as "unsuccessful".
5) Prevailing dictatorship school of thought against democracy: News leaked from
the White House and circulated through the media saying: a majority of Trump's
cabinet members were against him on the JCPOA but the "stubborn president"
refused to accept consultations.
6) Rationality vs. deafness: If Trump's stances were rational-oriented, all
rational democratic states would have supported him, but majority-united and
wisdom groups were against a deafness minority such as Saudi Arabia, the Zionist
regime, and Bahrain. It was expected that Trump would lay out his strategy but
he read an essay that apparently got prepared by Saudi Arabia and Israel and was
running on the same rails to consent them.
7) Businessman vs. puppet: If Trump were to be a real politician and
businessman, he would have looked for Iran’s 80-million population market and
pushed it to economic prone but he seemed to react as a puppet to respect Iran's
regional enemies and rivalries. The U.S. Treasury sanctions deprive its
government of doing business, export its production to Iran and materialize the
"First America" motto. Trump's idea led him to a path which only respected
anti-Iran illusions.
8) Confronting not blacklisting: Trump made endeavors for confronting and
weakening the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) by imposing more
sanctions, while the IRGC has been under tough sanctions long-before. He wanted
to label IRGC as a "terrorist group" but like his predecessors, he only
introduced more sanctions.
9) Off center vs. on center: Trump was trying to emboss Iran's related issues as
on center crisis but a huge amount of repercussion on social media denounced
Trump for his fake word of "A.R.A.B Gulf" as an off-center issue.
10) Foreign policy and internal pressure: While Trump laid out his strategy on
Iran, likewise his other policies; he faced much more pressure from U.S.
authorities, think tanks and NGOs.
Source:TehranTimes