In an interview with Iran’s state radio, Mohammad Ali Khatibi said it seems
unlikely that the international market could fully replace Iran’s oil output in
case the US compels the customers to cut their oil imports from Iran to zero.
Iran is producing 3 million barrels per day of crude oil, gas condensates and
other oil products, the former envoy said, adding that elimination of such
amount from the world market would force OPEC to use an additional 20-percent
capacity for daily production.
While the OPEC’s oil output is around 80 percent of its real capacity, much of
the allowable extra production is held by Saudi Arabia, Khatibi explained,
saying the kingdom will be able to raise its daily output at most by 1.5 million
barrels in the current circumstances.
The former Iranian official also said OPEC’s move to use the extra capacity will
certainly affect the prices, adding, "The (oil) consuming nations will never
agree on full exploitation of the world’s surplus capacity for substitution of
Iranian oil, because any unexpected development is likely to cause price rise in
the oil market.”
He also underlined that the "delicate oil market” must be given an assurance
that OPEC’s extra production capacity would be used only in emergencies to
balance the market.
The comments came after US President Donald Trump said in a tweet, "Just spoke
to King Salman of Saudi Arabia and explained to him that, because of the turmoil
and disfunction in Iran and Venezuela, I am asking that Saudi Arabia increase
oil production, maybe up to 2,000,000 barrels, to make up the
difference...Prices to high! He has agreed!”
OPEC agreed in late June to raise oil production by around 1 million barrels per
day (bpd) from July for the group and its allies.
Source: Tasnim