"The prospects for the formation of a Middle Eastern Strategic Alliance are
hindered by multiple obstacles. There are sharp disagreements between the member
states of the (Persian) Gulf Cooperation Council on Iran,” Keith Preston, the
chief editor and director of attackthesystem.com, told Tasnim.
He added, "It is unlikely that the proposed member nations of a Middle Eastern
Strategic Alliance will find that they share enough common interests and common
objectives to make such an alliance viable”.
Keith Preston was born in Lynchburg, Virginia, United States. He received
degrees in Religious Studies, History, and Sociology from Virginia Commonwealth
University. He is the founder and director of American Revolutionary Vanguard
and the chief editor of AttacktheSystem.Com. He has also been a contributor to
LewRockwell.Com, Antiwar.Com, Anti-State.Com,Taki’s Magazine, Radix Journal, and
AlternativeRight.Com . He is the author of six books, and was awarded the 2008
Chris R. Tame Memorial Prize by the United Kingdom’s Libertarian Alliance. Keith
has been a featured speaker at conferences of the National Policy Institute, H.
L. Mencken Club, and Anarchapulco. He has been interviewed on numerous radio
programs and internet broadcasts and appeared as a guest analyst on Russia
Today, Press TV and the BBC.
The following is the full text of the interview.
Tasnim: According to media reports, the Trump administration is quietly pushing
ahead with a bid to create a new security and political alliance with six
Persian Gulf Arab states, Egypt and Jordan, to contain Iran’s growing influence
in the region. What do you think about the "Arab NATO” force?
Preston: The Trump administration is interested in developing a Middle Eastern
Strategic Alliance that would consist of the two Arab nations that have actually
recognized Israel, Egypt and Jordan, both of which are heavily dependent on
American aid, in addition to the six members of the (Persian) Gulf Cooperation
Council: Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman and
Qatar. Rhetorically, President Trump is claiming such an alliance would be a
Middle Eastern counterpart to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in Europe.
The objectives of such an alliance would ostensibly be to contain the growing
influence of Iran in the Middle East, and presumably Iran’s allies such as
Syria, Hezbollah, Yemen’s Houthis, and various Palestinian, Iraqi, and Shiite
Afghan groups.
However, a wider geopolitical objective appears to be to counter the influence
of both Russia and China in the Middle East, particularly given that both of
these major powers have moved closer to Iran and its allies in recent years. The
United States has an interest in preventing Russia and China from gaining access
to valuable natural resources in the Middle East and Central Asia such as
minerals, petroleum, and natural gas. For example, it is largely for this reason
that the Trump administration has decided to continue the US military presence
in Afghanistan despite Trump’s earlier misgivings about the US effort in that
country. Clearly, the United States is also working to strengthen relations with
its strongest allies in the Middle East, such as Israel and Saudi Arabia, and
the proposed "Arab NATO” would seem to be an effort in that direction as well.
Tasnim: Saudi officials raised the idea of a security pact ahead of a Trump
visit last year to Saudi Arabia where he announced a massive arms deal, but the
alliance proposal did not get off the ground at the time. How much do you think
an Arab NATO could be a game changer in the reign?
Preston: The armaments deal between the Trump administration and Saudi Arabia
was part of the administration’s efforts to strengthen relations with its Middle
Eastern allies. The Saudi regime is currently waging war in Yemen, and in Saudi
Arabia’s own Eastern Province against the Shiite population there. The United
States is working to ensure that Saudi Arabia maintains the upper hand in that
conflict because of the importance of the US-Saudi relationship, and the desire
to counter the influence of Iran. An "Arab NATO” could be a game changer only if
the proposed alliance remained stable and functional over a long enough period
of time to effectively counter the influence of Iran and its allies in the
region in a way that the Saudis and their allies have not previously been able
to do. Such an alliance would be fraught with a great deal of internal tension,
and would probably not endure over an extensive period of time. Also, if such an
alliance were to develop and actually prove to be formidable, it would be quite
likely that Russia and possibly China would seek to increase their own
assistance to forces that would oppose such an alliance in the Middle East.
Clearly, Russia and China are opposed to ongoing efforts by the United States to
curtail their influence in the region. Such a situation could potentially
escalate tensions between the major international powers.
Tasnim: Similar initiatives by previous US administrations to develop a more
formal alliance with the Persian Gulf and Arab allies have failed in the past.
Do think this would fail as well?
Preston: The prospects for the formation of a Middle Eastern Strategic Alliance
are hindered by multiple obstacles. There are sharp disagreements between the
member states of the (Persian) Gulf Cooperation Council on Iran. While Saudi
Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain each wish to take a hard-line
stance against Iran, the other three members-Oman, Kuwait, and Qatar-do not
share this position, at least publicly. However, none of the other 16 Arab
nations besides the (P)GCC members give any substantial indication that they
wish to escalate tensions or hostilities with Iran. Additionally, four potential
members of the proposed alliance-the three anti-Iranian members of the (P)GCC
along with Egypt-have engaged in hostile rhetoric against Qatar, another member
of the (P)GCC and proposed member of an "Arab NATO,” by accusing Qatar of
promoting terrorism in the region. Egypt is also supportive of the Assad
government in Syria and has refused to offer support for the Saudi/UAE-led war
effort in Yemen.
Indeed, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the UAE and Egypt have collectively organized a
blockage against Qatar, and it is therefore uncertain how such an alliance would
be perceived as being in the interest of each of the proposed members. Hostility
also exists between the four anti-Qatari nations and Oman as well. While the UAE
and Saudi Arabia have both moved closer to Israel in recent times, it remains
true that tensions also exist between Egypt and Jordan as nations that have
recognized Israel, and the other 19 Arab nations which have not. The formation
of such an alliance would be perceived in the Middle East as a Sunni alliance
against Shiite Muslims. Kuwait would experience difficulties by joining such an
alliance because about 30% of its population is Shiite. And Oman is not a
predominantly Sunni nation, but a mostly Ibadi Muslim country with no direct
interest in escalating hostilities with Shiites. It is unlikely that the
proposed member nations of a Middle Eastern Strategic Alliance will find that
they share enough common interests and common objectives to make such an
alliance viable.
Source: Tasnim